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2007-08 Maltese Premier League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Valletta

36 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Hamrun Spartans

6.25 points above expected

27 points · 20.75 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Mqabba

10.56 points below expected

6 points · 16.56 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Valletta 18 10 6 2 36 40 16 +24 33.60 +2.40
2 Marsaxlokk 18 10 3 5 33 35 26 +9 32.66 +0.34
3 Sliema Wanderers 18 9 5 4 32 31 18 +13 32.07 -0.07
4 Floriana 18 8 4 6 28 33 28 +5 26.45 +1.55
5 Birkirkara 18 7 6 5 27 27 18 +9 30.21 -3.21
6 Hamrun Spartans 18 7 6 5 27 30 29 +1 20.75 +6.25
7 Hibernians 18 6 7 5 25 22 19 +3 24.89 +0.11
8 Msida St. Joseph 18 6 3 9 21 25 35 -10 19.62 +1.38
9 Pieta Hotspurs 18 5 0 13 15 21 40 -19 15.78 -0.78
10 Mqabba 18 2 0 16 6 15 50 -35 16.56 -10.56
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Valletta 10 7 1 2 22 18 11 +7 37.59 -15.59
2 Birkirkara 10 6 2 2 20 19 8 +11 27.79 -7.79
3 Marsaxlokk 10 6 0 4 18 21 14 +7 33.20 -15.20
4 Sliema Wanderers 10 6 0 4 18 16 15 +1 31.55 -13.55
5 Msida St. Joseph 6 4 1 1 13 16 11 +5 21.62 -8.62
6 Hibernians 6 4 1 1 13 13 8 +5 24.40 -11.40
7 Floriana 10 2 2 6 8 7 14 -7 24.12 -16.12
8 Mqabba 6 1 2 3 5 9 12 -3 7.83 -2.83
9 Pieta Hotspurs 6 1 0 5 3 6 13 -7 14.84 -11.84
10 Hamrun Spartans 10 0 1 9 1 12 31 -19 22.95 -21.95

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hamrun Spartans 27 20.75 +6.25
2 Valletta 36 33.60 +2.40
3 Floriana 28 26.45 +1.55
4 Msida St. Joseph 21 19.62 +1.38
5 Marsaxlokk 33 32.66 +0.34

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Mqabba 6 16.56 -10.56
2 Birkirkara 27 30.21 -3.21
3 Pieta Hotspurs 15 15.78 -0.78
4 Sliema Wanderers 32 32.07 -0.07
5 Hibernians 25 24.89 +0.11

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pieta Hotspurs 2 Sep 22 – Sep 27 1 in 23
2 Birkirkara 3 Aug 29 – Sep 23 1 in 22
3 Valletta 4 Nov 24 – Dec 15 1 in 21
4 Floriana 3 Aug 27 – Sep 15 1 in 20
5 Marsaxlokk 4 Jan 5 – Jan 27 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mqabba 11 Oct 5 – Feb 10 1 in 411
2 Pieta Hotspurs 7 Dec 9 – Jan 27 1 in 41
3 Marsaxlokk 2 Sep 16 – Sep 23 1 in 26
4 Hamrun Spartans 3 Jan 13 – Feb 9 1 in 12
5 Birkirkara 1 Sep 27 – Sep 27 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hamrun Spartans 9 Sep 26 – Jan 6 1 in 388
2 Hibernians 8 Sep 30 – Jan 3 1 in 58
3 Valletta 12 Oct 20 – Feb 22 1 in 34
4 Msida St. Joseph 4 Jan 13 – Feb 16 1 in 19
5 Marsaxlokk 6 Jan 5 – Feb 22 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Birkirkara 4 Sep 27 – Nov 24 1 in 32
2 Mqabba 11 Oct 5 – Feb 10 1 in 17
3 Sliema Wanderers 3 Dec 26 – Jan 5 1 in 11
4 Floriana 4 Nov 24 – Dec 15 1 in 8
5 Marsaxlokk 2 Sep 16 – Sep 23 1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Valletta 1119 58 -52 9 10.3 -1.3
Marsaxlokk 1097 51 +33 9 8.4 +0.6
Sliema Wanderers 1043 50 +72 15 6.6 +8.4
Birkirkara 1077 47 +8 7 8.4 -1.4
Hibernians 915 38 -10 10 10.3 -0.3
Floriana 890 36 -25 4 4.7 -0.7
Msida St. Joseph 894 34 +49 13 9.4 +3.6
Hamrun Spartans 793 28 -36 0 3.6 -3.6
Pieta Hotspurs 690 18 -21 3 4.6 -1.6
Mqabba 667 11 -19 2 3.8 -1.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BIR FLO HS HIB MAR MQA MSJ PH SW VAL
Birkirkara —
1-1-0
3.23
1-1-0
3.63
0-1-1
3.40
1-0-1
2.58
2-0-0
3.93
0-2-0
3.86
1-0-1
4.40
1-1-0
2.24
0-0-2
2.41
Floriana
0-1-1
2.37
 —
0-1-1
3.47
1-1-0
2.81
0-0-2
2.31
2-0-0
3.68
1-0-1
3.60
2-0-0
4.05
1-1-0
2.09
1-0-1
1.96
Hamrun Spartans
0-1-1
1.98
1-1-0
2.13
 —
0-2-0
2.41
2-0-0
1.57
2-0-0
2.94
1-0-1
3.12
1-0-1
3.78
0-1-1
1.55
0-1-1
1.62
Hibernians
1-1-0
2.20
0-1-1
2.79
0-2-0
3.19
 —
0-1-1
1.95
2-0-0
3.75
1-0-1
3.34
2-0-0
3.92
0-0-2
2.10
0-2-0
1.73
Marsaxlokk
1-0-1
3.02
2-0-0
3.29
0-0-2
4.05
1-1-0
3.66
 —
2-0-0
4.58
2-0-0
4.25
2-0-0
4.13
0-1-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.63
Mqabba
0-0-2
1.68
0-0-2
1.93
0-0-2
2.66
0-0-2
1.87
0-0-2
1.07
 —
1-0-1
1.86
0-0-2
3.07
1-0-1
1.16
0-0-2
1.12
Msida St. Joseph
0-2-0
1.76
1-0-1
2.01
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.26
0-0-2
1.37
1-0-1
3.75
 —
2-0-0
2.80
0-0-2
1.47
0-1-1
1.45
Pieta Hotspurs
1-0-1
1.24
0-0-2
1.56
1-0-1
1.83
0-0-2
1.70
0-0-2
1.50
2-0-0
2.54
0-0-2
2.80
 —
1-0-1
1.17
0-0-2
1.30
Sliema Wanderers
0-1-1
3.36
0-1-1
3.52
1-1-0
4.06
2-0-0
3.51
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
4.48
2-0-0
4.15
1-0-1
4.47
 —
1-1-0
2.48
Valletta
2-0-0
3.19
1-0-1
3.64
1-1-0
4.00
0-2-0
3.88
1-1-0
2.97
2-0-0
4.53
1-1-0
4.17
2-0-0
4.33
0-1-1
3.12
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.85 +11.2
Allowed 0.80 -7.2
Differential 0.96 +5.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.79%6.06%7.58%2.27%2.27%2.27%24.24%
16.06%11.36%7.20%4.55%2.27%0.38%31.82%
27.58%7.20%3.79%2.27%1.89%—22.73%
32.27%4.55%2.27%—0.76%0.76%10.61%
42.27%2.27%1.89%0.76%——7.20%
5+2.27%0.38%—0.76%——3.41%
Total24.24%31.82%22.73%10.61%7.20%3.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.58 +0.00
SD 1.42 1.42 2.20
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%3.57%3.57%———14.29%
13.57%17.86%14.29%3.57%——39.29%
221.43%3.57%3.57%———28.57%
3—3.57%3.57%———7.14%
43.57%3.57%————7.14%
5+3.57%—————3.57%
Total39.29%32.14%25.00%3.57%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.93 +0.71
SD 1.25 0.90 1.72
CV 0.76 0.97 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%3.57%14.29%—3.57%—25.00%
17.14%14.29%7.14%—3.57%—32.14%
27.14%3.57%3.57%10.71%——25.00%
3—7.14%3.57%———10.71%
43.57%3.57%————7.14%
5+———————
Total21.43%32.14%28.57%10.71%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.50 -0.07
SD 1.20 1.17 1.84
CV 0.84 0.78 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%—7.14%3.57%3.57%3.57%21.43%
17.14%14.29%7.14%3.57%7.14%—39.29%
2—7.14%7.14%3.57%3.57%—21.43%
37.14%———3.57%3.57%14.29%
4———————
5+———3.57%——3.57%
Total17.86%21.43%21.43%14.29%17.86%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.14 -0.64
SD 1.45 1.58 2.09
CV 0.97 0.74 —
Max 7 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%4.17%4.17%——4.17%16.67%
14.17%25.00%8.33%4.17%——41.67%
216.67%8.33%4.17%———29.17%
34.17%—————4.17%
44.17%—4.17%———8.33%
5+———————
Total33.33%37.50%20.83%4.17%—4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.12 +0.33
SD 1.10 1.19 1.88
CV 0.76 1.06 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%10.71%7.14%——3.57%25.00%
17.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
27.14%3.57%————10.71%
3—14.29%3.57%——3.57%21.43%
43.57%3.57%3.57%3.57%——14.29%
5+7.14%—————7.14%
Total28.57%39.29%21.43%3.57%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.43 +0.57
SD 1.66 1.77 2.56
CV 0.83 1.24 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—16.67%8.33%4.17%4.17%4.17%37.50%
1—4.17%8.33%8.33%8.33%4.17%33.33%
24.17%4.17%4.17%—8.33%—20.83%
3——4.17%—4.17%—8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total4.17%25.00%25.00%12.50%25.00%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.58 -1.58
SD 0.98 1.53 1.74
CV 0.98 0.59 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%4.17%4.17%8.33%4.17%4.17%29.17%
14.17%8.33%4.17%8.33%4.17%—29.17%
24.17%4.17%4.17%———12.50%
3—8.33%4.17%———12.50%
4——8.33%4.17%——12.50%
5+4.17%—————4.17%
Total16.67%25.00%25.00%20.83%8.33%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.92 -0.21
SD 1.78 1.38 2.59
CV 1.04 0.72 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%16.67%8.33%4.17%4.17%41.67%
18.33%—12.50%16.67%——37.50%
2—4.17%——4.17%—8.33%
3——4.17%———4.17%
4———————
5+4.17%4.17%————8.33%
Total12.50%16.67%33.33%25.00%8.33%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 2.21 -1.08
SD 1.57 1.53 2.55
CV 1.39 0.69 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%7.14%10.71%———21.43%
110.71%7.14%—3.57%——21.43%
27.14%17.86%7.14%3.57%3.57%—39.29%
37.14%—————7.14%
43.57%3.57%————7.14%
5+———3.57%——3.57%
Total32.14%35.71%17.86%10.71%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.18 +0.50
SD 1.31 1.12 1.71
CV 0.78 0.95 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%3.57%——3.57%—14.29%
17.14%14.29%3.57%———25.00%
27.14%14.29%3.57%3.57%——28.57%
33.57%10.71%————14.29%
43.57%7.14%3.57%———14.29%
5+3.57%—————3.57%
Total32.14%50.00%10.71%3.57%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.07 0.96 +1.11
SD 1.59 0.96 1.99
CV 0.77 1.00 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Valletta 1119 36 33.60 +2.40 68.0% 20 23 30 34 38 41 46
Marsaxlokk 1097 33 32.66 +0.34 56.0% 17 24 29 33 36 41 45
Birkirkara 1077 27 30.21 -3.21 28.0% 16 19 27 31 34 39 44
Sliema Wanderers 1043 32 32.07 -0.07 53.0% 20 24 28 32 36 40 42
Hibernians 915 25 24.89 +0.11 51.0% 14 16 21 25 29 34 39
Msida St. Joseph 894 21 19.62 +1.38 67.0% 6 10 16 19 22 29 34
Floriana 890 28 26.45 +1.55 66.0% 12 17 23 26 30 35 39
Hamrun Spartans 793 27 20.75 +6.25 86.0% 10 12 16 20 25 30 35
Pieta Hotspurs 690 15 15.78 -0.78 50.0% 6 7 13 15 19 23 27
Mqabba 667 6 16.56 -10.56 0.0% 7 9 12 16 21 27 31

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -3% * Slight Edge: -3% to 3.5% * Clear Edge: 3.5% to 8.5% * Strong Edge: 8.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.82%
Clear Edge
43.94%18.94%37.12%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 23.73 Elo pts.
167 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.38 goals
Neutral
-2+0.14+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.7
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
36%
Valletta, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.17/gm
Tight Race
00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.35 * Some Luck: 4.35 to 6.52 * Lucky: 6.52 to 8.7 * Wild Swing: 8.7 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.17 * Close: 1.17 to 1.76 * Off: 1.76 to 2.34 * Way Off: 2.34 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.14 points
As Expected
05.4414
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.60
Pinpoint
01.463
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
86.00%
Hamrun Spartans
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.00%
Mqabba
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 2 * Strong Separation: 2 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92.5% * Clear Edge: 92.5% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Balanced
00.20.270.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 145.43
1.55
Coin-Flip Parity
0.951.6522.253
Interquartile Edge
71%
Even
50%72.5%79%84%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
94%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
52%
Some Drama
0%50%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Occasional
0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.42 * Slight Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.74 * Strong Carryover: 0.74 to 0.83 * Near-Lock: 0.83 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Upset-Prone: 18.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Very Even
00.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.55
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.77
Strong Carryover
00.570.741
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Very Shaky
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.17
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.05
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.090
Well Within Noise
00.1410.4

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Valletta36.00%17.00%21.00%11.00%6.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%——
Marsaxlokk28.00%23.00%13.00%14.00%12.00%6.00%3.00%—1.00%—
Sliema Wanderers20.00%22.00%21.00%17.00%11.00%8.00%—1.00%——
Floriana1.00%14.00%12.00%8.00%20.00%22.00%11.00%8.00%3.00%1.00%
Birkirkara14.00%20.00%17.00%21.00%11.00%5.00%8.00%2.00%2.00%—
Hamrun Spartans1.00%—4.00%7.00%8.00%13.00%19.00%19.00%14.00%15.00%
Hibernians—3.00%9.00%16.00%23.00%13.00%19.00%9.00%6.00%2.00%
Msida St. Joseph——2.00%5.00%4.00%15.00%18.00%23.00%21.00%12.00%
Pieta Hotspurs————2.00%6.00%7.00%25.00%31.00%29.00%
Mqabba—1.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%6.00%13.00%12.00%22.00%41.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Marsaxlokk 100% —
Sliema Wanderers 100% —
Valletta 100% —
Birkirkara 98.00% 2.00%
Floriana 96.00% 4.00%
Hibernians 93.00% 7.00%
Msida St. Joseph 83.00% 17.00%
Hamrun Spartans 77.00% 23.00%
Pieta Hotspurs 30.00% 70.00%
Mqabba 23.00% 77.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Birkirkara 100% —
Floriana 100% —
Hamrun Spartans 100% —
Marsaxlokk 100% —
Sliema Wanderers 100% —
Valletta 100% —
Hibernians 96.85% 3.15%
Msida St. Joseph 89.09% 10.91%
Pieta Hotspurs 13.45% 86.55%
Mqabba 0.61% 99.39%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2007-08-26 Birkirkara D 1-153.5 872 956 32.07% 19.98% 47.95%-0.36 +1.0 1
2007-08-26 @ Hibernians D 1-153.5 956 872 47.95% 19.98% 32.07%+0.36 -1.0 1
2007-08-26 Hamrun Spartans L 1-249.3 886 833 50.77% 19.89% 29.34%+0.46 -13.8 0
2007-08-26 @ Mqabba W 2-149.3 833 886 29.34% 19.89% 50.77%-0.46 +13.8 3
2007-08-27 Floriana L 2-356.0 993 892 56.64% 19.57% 23.79%+0.75 -14.5 0
2007-08-27 @ Valletta W 3-256.0 892 993 23.79% 19.57% 56.64%-0.75 +14.5 3
2007-08-27 Msida St. Joseph W 3-030.3 1019 862 62.41% 19.05% 18.54%+1.08 +17.0 3
2007-08-27 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-330.3 862 1019 18.54% 19.05% 62.41%-1.08 -17.0 0
2007-08-29 Mqabba W 1-036.8 955 872 54.51% 19.71% 25.78%+0.64 +8.3 4
2007-08-29 @ Birkirkara L 0-136.8 872 955 25.78% 19.71% 54.51%-0.64 -8.3 0
2007-08-29 Pieta Hotspurs W 3-134.6 1070 800 71.65% 17.52% 10.83%+1.76 +6.0 3
2007-08-29 @ Marsaxlokk L 1-334.6 800 1070 10.83% 17.52% 71.65%-1.76 -6.0 0
2007-08-31 Hibernians W 1-038.7 906 873 48.21% 19.97% 31.81%+0.34 +9.9 6
2007-08-31 @ Floriana L 0-138.7 873 906 31.81% 19.97% 48.21%-0.34 -10.0 1
2007-08-31 Sliema Wanderers L 0-330.9 847 1036 20.44% 19.27% 60.30%-0.99 -18.6 3
2007-08-31 @ Hamrun Spartans W 3-030.9 1036 847 60.30% 19.27% 20.44%+0.99 +18.5 6
2007-09-01 Marsaxlokk L 1-336.8 845 1076 16.84% 18.81% 64.35%-1.24 -9.2 0
2007-09-01 @ Msida St. Joseph W 3-136.8 1076 845 64.35% 18.81% 16.84%+1.24 +9.2 6
2007-09-01 Valletta L 1-338.1 794 979 20.79% 19.31% 59.91%-0.97 -11.2 0
2007-09-01 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-138.1 979 794 59.91% 19.31% 20.79%+0.97 +11.2 3
2007-09-15 Birkirkara L 0-243.3 1054 964 55.38% 19.65% 24.97%+0.69 -30.0 6
2007-09-15 @ Sliema Wanderers W 2-043.3 964 1054 24.97% 19.65% 55.38%-0.69 +30.0 7
2007-09-15 Floriana L 1-343.0 864 916 36.31% 20.07% 43.62%-0.17 -18.1 0
2007-09-15 @ Mqabba W 3-143.0 916 864 43.62% 20.07% 36.31%+0.17 +18.1 9
2007-09-16 Hamrun Spartans L 0-149.7 1085 829 70.73% 17.72% 11.55%+1.68 -20.0 6
2007-09-16 @ Marsaxlokk W 1-049.7 829 1085 11.55% 17.72% 70.73%-1.68 +20.1 6
2007-09-16 Msida St. Joseph L 0-140.1 783 836 36.21% 20.07% 43.72%-0.18 -11.1 0
2007-09-16 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 1-040.1 836 783 43.72% 20.07% 36.21%+0.18 +11.1 3
2007-09-17 Hibernians D 1-153.7 990 863 59.39% 19.35% 21.26%+0.90 -2.6 4
2007-09-17 @ Valletta D 1-153.7 863 990 21.26% 19.35% 59.39%-0.90 +2.6 2
2007-09-21 Mqabba W 2-036.8 866 846 46.50% 20.02% 33.48%+0.26 +19.6 5
2007-09-21 @ Hibernians L 0-236.8 846 866 33.48% 20.02% 46.50%-0.26 -19.6 0
2007-09-21 Sliema Wanderers D 2-258.8 934 1024 31.33% 19.96% 48.71%-0.40 +0.8 10
2007-09-21 @ Floriana D 2-258.8 1024 934 48.71% 19.96% 31.33%+0.40 -0.8 7
2007-09-22 Pieta Hotspurs L 2-355.2 849 772 53.77% 19.75% 26.49%+0.60 -13.8 6
2007-09-22 @ Hamrun Spartans W 3-255.2 772 849 26.49% 19.75% 53.77%-0.60 +13.8 3
2007-09-22 Valletta D 1-153.6 847 988 25.32% 19.68% 55.00%-0.70 +2.0 4
2007-09-22 @ Msida St. Joseph D 1-153.6 988 847 55.00% 19.68% 25.32%+0.70 -2.0 5
2007-09-23 Marsaxlokk W 2-040.7 994 1065 33.77% 20.02% 46.21%-0.28 +25.5 10
2007-09-23 @ Birkirkara L 0-240.7 1065 994 46.21% 20.02% 33.77%+0.28 -25.5 6
2007-09-25 Hibernians W 2-139.9 1024 886 60.56% 19.24% 20.20%+0.97 +6.3 10
2007-09-25 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-239.9 886 1024 20.20% 19.24% 60.56%-0.97 -6.3 5
2007-09-26 Hamrun Spartans L 0-142.9 849 835 45.68% 20.03% 34.28%+0.23 -13.4 4
2007-09-26 @ Msida St. Joseph W 1-042.9 835 849 34.28% 20.03% 45.68%-0.23 +13.4 9
2007-09-26 Mqabba W 3-137.3 986 826 62.68% 19.02% 18.30%+1.10 +10.0 8
2007-09-26 @ Valletta L 1-337.3 826 986 18.30% 19.02% 62.68%-1.10 -10.0 0
2007-09-27 Birkirkara W 2-153.1 786 1019 16.59% 18.77% 64.64%-1.26 +17.3 6
2007-09-27 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 1-253.1 1019 786 64.64% 18.77% 16.59%+1.26 -17.3 10
2007-09-27 Floriana W 3-246.0 1039 935 56.93% 19.55% 23.52%+0.77 +6.9 9
2007-09-27 @ Marsaxlokk L 2-346.0 935 1039 23.52% 19.55% 56.93%-0.77 -6.9 10
2007-09-30 Marsaxlokk D 1-153.7 879 1046 22.52% 19.47% 58.01%-0.86 +2.4 6
2007-09-30 @ Hibernians D 1-153.7 1046 879 58.01% 19.47% 22.52%+0.86 -2.4 10
2007-09-30 Sliema Wanderers W 3-257.7 816 1030 18.21% 19.00% 62.79%-1.14 +16.0 3
2007-09-30 @ Mqabba L 2-357.7 1030 816 62.79% 19.00% 18.21%+1.14 -16.0 10
2007-10-01 Msida St. Joseph D 1-153.8 1002 836 63.33% 18.94% 17.73%+1.14 -3.1 11
2007-10-01 @ Birkirkara D 1-153.8 836 1002 17.73% 18.94% 63.33%-1.14 +3.1 5
2007-10-01 Pieta Hotspurs W 4-030.4 928 803 59.25% 19.36% 21.38%+0.89 +25.2 13
2007-10-01 @ Floriana L 0-430.4 803 928 21.38% 19.36% 59.25%-0.89 -25.2 6
2007-10-04 Sliema Wanderers L 1-246.5 996 1014 41.15% 20.09% 38.77%+0.03 -11.6 8
2007-10-04 @ Valletta W 2-146.5 1014 996 38.77% 20.09% 41.15%-0.03 +11.6 13
2007-10-05 Birkirkara D 2-258.9 848 999 24.24% 19.60% 56.16%-0.76 +1.6 10
2007-10-05 @ Hamrun Spartans D 2-258.9 999 848 56.16% 19.60% 24.24%+0.76 -1.6 12
2007-10-05 Mqabba W 1-033.0 1044 832 67.32% 18.37% 14.31%+1.41 +4.8 13
2007-10-05 @ Marsaxlokk L 0-133.0 832 1044 14.31% 18.37% 67.32%-1.41 -4.9 3
2007-10-06 Floriana L 0-235.2 839 954 28.26% 19.84% 51.90%-0.55 -17.0 5
2007-10-06 @ Msida St. Joseph W 2-035.2 954 839 51.90% 19.84% 28.26%+0.55 +17.0 16
2007-10-06 Hibernians L 0-235.6 778 882 29.58% 19.90% 50.52%-0.48 -17.7 6
2007-10-06 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 2-035.6 882 778 50.52% 19.90% 29.58%+0.48 +17.7 9
2007-10-20 Pieta Hotspurs L 1-643.0 827 760 52.59% 19.81% 27.60%+0.55 -55.3 3
2007-10-20 @ Mqabba W 6-143.0 760 827 27.60% 19.81% 52.59%-0.55 +55.3 9
2007-10-20 Valletta D 0-049.6 850 984 26.02% 19.72% 54.26%-0.66 +2.1 11
2007-10-20 @ Hamrun Spartans D 0-049.6 984 850 54.26% 19.72% 26.02%+0.66 -2.1 9
2007-10-21 Marsaxlokk W 1-041.1 1025 1049 40.42% 20.09% 39.49%+0.00 +11.9 16
2007-10-21 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-141.1 1049 1025 39.49% 20.09% 40.42%+0.00 -11.9 13
2007-10-21 Msida St. Joseph W 4-032.0 899 822 53.83% 19.74% 26.42%+0.61 +30.4 12
2007-10-21 @ Hibernians L 0-432.0 822 899 26.42% 19.74% 53.83%-0.61 -30.4 5
2007-11-24 Hamrun Spartans D 1-153.7 971 852 58.54% 19.43% 22.04%+0.85 -2.5 17
2007-11-24 @ Floriana D 1-153.7 852 971 22.04% 19.43% 58.54%-0.85 +2.4 12
2007-11-24 Valletta L 0-142.9 997 982 45.83% 20.03% 34.14%+0.23 -13.4 12
2007-11-24 @ Birkirkara W 1-042.9 982 997 34.14% 20.03% 45.83%-0.23 +13.4 12
2007-11-25 Mqabba W 4-352.3 791 772 46.39% 20.02% 33.59%+0.26 +9.1 8
2007-11-25 @ Msida St. Joseph L 3-452.3 772 791 33.59% 20.02% 46.39%-0.26 -9.1 3
2007-11-25 Sliema Wanderers W 1-047.9 815 1037 17.52% 18.91% 63.57%-1.19 +18.1 12
2007-11-25 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 0-147.9 1037 815 63.57% 18.91% 17.52%+1.19 -18.1 16
2007-12-01 Floriana W 3-249.4 984 968 45.87% 20.03% 34.10%+0.24 +9.4 15
2007-12-01 @ Birkirkara L 2-349.4 968 984 34.10% 20.03% 45.87%-0.24 -9.4 17
2007-12-01 Marsaxlokk W 7-037.6 995 1037 37.83% 20.08% 42.09%-0.11 +75.8 15
2007-12-01 @ Valletta L 0-737.6 1037 995 42.09% 20.08% 37.83%+0.11 -75.8 13
2007-12-02 Hibernians D 2-258.8 854 930 33.22% 20.01% 46.77%-0.31 +0.6 13
2007-12-02 @ Hamrun Spartans D 2-258.8 930 854 46.77% 20.01% 33.22%+0.31 -0.6 13
2007-12-02 Sliema Wanderers L 1-435.1 800 1019 17.78% 18.95% 63.27%-1.17 -13.8 8
2007-12-02 @ Msida St. Joseph W 4-135.1 1019 800 63.27% 18.95% 17.78%+1.17 +13.8 19
2007-12-08 Hibernians L 0-242.4 993 929 52.20% 19.83% 27.97%+0.53 -28.4 15
2007-12-08 @ Birkirkara W 2-042.4 929 993 27.97% 19.83% 52.20%-0.53 +28.4 16
2007-12-08 Valletta L 0-432.7 959 1071 28.55% 19.85% 51.60%-0.53 -32.5 17
2007-12-08 @ Floriana W 4-032.7 1071 959 51.60% 19.85% 28.55%+0.53 +32.5 18
2007-12-09 Marsaxlokk L 0-137.1 834 961 26.77% 19.76% 53.46%-0.62 -8.6 12
2007-12-09 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 1-037.1 961 834 53.46% 19.76% 26.77%+0.62 +8.6 16
2007-12-09 Mqabba W 3-032.3 855 763 55.56% 19.64% 24.80%+0.69 +22.0 16
2007-12-09 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-332.3 763 855 24.80% 19.64% 55.56%-0.69 -22.0 3
2007-12-15 Floriana D 1-153.5 957 926 47.98% 19.98% 32.04%+0.33 -1.0 17
2007-12-15 @ Hibernians D 1-153.5 926 957 32.04% 19.98% 47.98%-0.33 +1.0 18
2007-12-15 Pieta Hotspurs W 3-027.3 1104 825 72.28% 17.37% 10.35%+1.81 +9.6 21
2007-12-15 @ Valletta L 0-327.3 825 1104 10.35% 17.37% 72.28%-1.81 -9.7 12
2007-12-19 Birkirkara L 1-434.9 741 965 17.36% 18.89% 63.75%-1.20 -13.5 3
2007-12-19 @ Mqabba W 4-134.9 965 741 63.75% 18.89% 17.36%+1.20 +13.5 18
2007-12-19 Msida St. Joseph W 5-028.7 970 787 64.87% 18.74% 16.39%+1.24 +24.4 19
2007-12-19 @ Marsaxlokk L 0-528.7 787 970 16.39% 18.74% 64.87%-1.24 -24.4 8
2007-12-26 Hamrun Spartans D 1-153.8 1033 877 62.35% 19.06% 18.60%+1.08 -3.0 20
2007-12-26 @ Sliema Wanderers D 1-153.8 877 1033 18.60% 19.06% 62.35%-1.08 +3.0 17
2007-12-26 Valletta D 0-049.7 956 1113 23.55% 19.55% 56.89%-0.80 +2.5 18
2007-12-26 @ Hibernians D 0-049.7 1113 956 56.89% 19.55% 23.55%+0.80 -2.5 22
2007-12-27 Mqabba W 4-134.2 927 727 66.33% 18.53% 15.14%+1.34 +11.8 21
2007-12-27 @ Floriana L 1-434.2 727 927 15.14% 18.53% 66.33%-1.34 -11.8 3
2007-12-27 Pieta Hotspurs W 7-038.1 762 815 36.24% 20.07% 43.69%-0.18 +78.2 11
2007-12-27 @ Msida St. Joseph L 0-738.1 815 762 43.69% 20.07% 36.24%+0.18 -78.2 12
2007-12-30 Marsaxlokk W 7-346.8 880 994 28.36% 19.84% 51.79%-0.54 +34.5 20
2007-12-30 @ Hamrun Spartans L 3-746.8 994 880 51.79% 19.84% 28.36%+0.54 -34.5 19
2007-12-30 Sliema Wanderers D 1-153.5 978 1030 36.41% 20.07% 43.53%-0.17 +0.5 19
2007-12-30 @ Birkirkara D 1-153.5 1030 978 43.53% 20.07% 36.41%+0.17 -0.5 21
2008-01-03 Hibernians L 0-133.5 716 959 15.85% 18.65% 65.50%-1.32 -5.4 3
2008-01-03 @ Mqabba W 1-033.5 959 716 65.50% 18.65% 15.85%+1.32 +5.4 21
2008-01-03 Msida St. Joseph W 3-134.6 1111 841 71.71% 17.50% 10.78%+1.76 +6.0 25
2008-01-03 @ Valletta L 1-334.6 841 1111 10.78% 17.50% 71.71%-1.76 -6.0 11
2008-01-05 Birkirkara W 3-143.8 960 979 41.01% 20.09% 38.90%+0.03 +19.2 22
2008-01-05 @ Marsaxlokk L 1-343.8 979 960 38.90% 20.09% 41.01%-0.03 -19.2 19
2008-01-05 Floriana L 0-145.7 1030 939 55.37% 19.65% 24.98%+0.68 -15.9 21
2008-01-05 @ Sliema Wanderers W 1-045.7 939 1030 24.98% 19.65% 55.37%-0.68 +15.9 24
2008-01-06 Hamrun Spartans L 0-331.3 737 915 21.48% 19.37% 59.14%-0.92 -19.4 12
2008-01-06 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-031.3 915 737 59.14% 19.37% 21.48%+0.92 +19.4 23
2008-01-06 Valletta L 1-235.1 710 1117 7.17% 16.08% 76.75%-2.30 -2.3 3
2008-01-06 @ Mqabba W 2-135.1 1117 710 76.75% 16.08% 7.17%+2.30 +2.3 28
2008-01-12 Marsaxlokk L 1-442.2 955 979 40.37% 20.09% 39.54%+0.00 -27.9 24
2008-01-12 @ Floriana W 4-142.2 979 955 39.54% 20.09% 40.37%+0.00 +27.9 25
2008-01-12 Sliema Wanderers L 1-245.1 964 1014 36.73% 20.07% 43.20%-0.15 -10.6 21
2008-01-12 @ Hibernians W 2-145.1 1014 964 43.20% 20.07% 36.73%+0.15 +10.6 24
2008-01-13 Msida St. Joseph L 1-250.9 934 835 56.40% 19.59% 24.01%+0.74 -15.2 23
2008-01-13 @ Hamrun Spartans W 2-150.9 835 934 24.01% 19.59% 56.40%-0.74 +15.2 14
2008-01-13 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-029.9 960 718 69.68% 17.94% 12.38%+1.59 +8.0 22
2008-01-13 @ Birkirkara L 0-229.9 718 960 12.38% 17.94% 69.68%-1.59 -7.9 12
2008-01-19 Hamrun Spartans W 4-134.1 1119 919 66.38% 18.52% 15.10%+1.34 +11.8 31
2008-01-19 @ Valletta L 1-434.1 919 1119 15.10% 18.52% 66.38%-1.34 -11.8 23
2008-01-19 Hibernians W 5-032.9 1007 954 50.80% 19.89% 29.32%+0.46 +41.0 28
2008-01-19 @ Marsaxlokk L 0-532.9 954 1007 29.32% 19.89% 50.80%-0.46 -41.0 21
2008-01-20 Floriana L 1-337.2 710 927 17.90% 18.96% 63.14%-1.16 -9.8 12
2008-01-20 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-137.2 927 710 63.14% 18.96% 17.90%+1.16 +9.8 27
2008-01-20 Mqabba W 4-025.8 1024 708 74.64% 16.74% 8.62%+2.04 +10.5 27
2008-01-20 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-425.8 708 1024 8.62% 16.74% 74.64%-2.04 -10.5 3
2008-01-26 Birkirkara D 0-049.6 850 967 27.92% 19.82% 52.26%-0.56 +1.8 15
2008-01-26 @ Msida St. Joseph D 0-049.6 967 850 52.26% 19.82% 27.92%+0.56 -1.8 23
2008-01-26 Valletta D 2-258.9 1035 1131 30.53% 19.93% 49.54%-0.43 +0.9 28
2008-01-26 @ Sliema Wanderers D 2-258.9 1131 1035 49.54% 19.93% 30.53%+0.43 -0.9 32
2008-01-27 Marsaxlokk L 0-228.7 698 1048 9.47% 17.07% 73.46%-1.96 -6.1 3
2008-01-27 @ Mqabba W 2-028.7 1048 698 73.46% 17.07% 9.47%+1.96 +6.1 31
2008-01-27 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-030.6 913 700 67.41% 18.35% 14.23%+1.42 +9.1 24
2008-01-27 @ Hibernians L 0-230.6 700 913 14.23% 18.35% 67.41%-1.42 -9.1 12
2008-02-09 Hamrun Spartans W 5-032.7 966 907 51.54% 19.86% 28.61%+0.49 +40.1 26
2008-02-09 @ Birkirkara L 0-532.7 907 966 28.61% 19.86% 51.54%-0.49 -40.1 23
2008-02-09 Sliema Wanderers D 0-049.5 1054 1036 46.21% 20.02% 33.76%+0.25 -0.9 32
2008-02-09 @ Marsaxlokk D 0-049.5 1036 1054 33.76% 20.02% 46.21%-0.25 +0.9 29
2008-02-10 Mqabba W 5-035.1 691 691 43.64% 20.07% 36.29%+0.14 +48.9 15
2008-02-10 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 0-535.1 691 691 36.29% 20.07% 43.64%-0.14 -48.9 3
2008-02-10 Msida St. Joseph L 2-355.5 937 852 54.77% 19.69% 25.54%+0.65 -14.1 27
2008-02-10 @ Floriana W 3-255.5 852 937 25.54% 19.69% 54.77%-0.65 +14.1 18
2008-02-16 Hibernians W 2-040.0 866 922 35.79% 20.06% 44.15%-0.19 +24.5 21
2008-02-16 @ Msida St. Joseph L 0-240.0 922 866 44.15% 20.06% 35.79%+0.19 -24.5 24
2008-02-16 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-136.0 1036 740 73.45% 17.07% 9.48%+1.92 +3.0 32
2008-02-16 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-236.0 740 1036 9.48% 17.07% 73.45%-1.92 -3.0 15
2008-02-18 Birkirkara W 2-140.4 1130 1006 59.12% 19.38% 21.50%+0.89 +6.7 35
2008-02-18 @ Valletta L 1-240.4 1006 1130 21.50% 19.38% 59.12%-0.89 -6.7 26
2008-02-18 Floriana W 2-147.3 867 923 35.82% 20.06% 44.12%-0.19 +12.3 26
2008-02-18 @ Hamrun Spartans L 1-247.3 923 867 44.12% 20.06% 35.82%+0.19 -12.3 27
2008-02-22 Birkirkara D 0-049.5 911 999 31.49% 19.96% 48.54%-0.39 +1.2 28
2008-02-22 @ Floriana D 0-049.5 999 911 48.54% 19.96% 31.49%+0.39 -1.2 27
2008-02-22 Valletta D 1-153.5 1053 1137 32.09% 19.98% 47.92%-0.36 +1.0 33
2008-02-22 @ Marsaxlokk D 1-153.5 1137 1053 47.92% 19.98% 32.09%+0.36 -1.0 36
2008-02-25 Hamrun Spartans D 1-153.5 897 879 46.23% 20.02% 33.74%+0.25 -0.8 25
2008-02-25 @ Hibernians D 1-153.5 879 897 33.74% 20.02% 46.23%-0.25 +0.8 27
2008-02-25 Msida St. Joseph W 2-153.4 642 890 15.52% 18.60% 65.88%-1.34 +17.7 6
2008-02-25 @ Mqabba L 1-253.4 890 642 65.88% 18.60% 15.52%+1.34 -17.7 21

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2008-03-12 Marsaxlokk L 1-241.5 912 1054 25.15% 19.67% 55.19%-0.71 -7.7 0
2008-03-12 @ Floriana W 2-141.5 1054 912 55.19% 19.67% 25.15%+0.71 +7.7 3
2008-03-12 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-040.9 660 737 33.06% 20.01% 46.93%-0.32 +25.8 3
2008-03-12 @ Mqabba L 0-240.9 737 660 46.93% 20.01% 33.06%+0.32 -25.8 0
2008-03-13 Birkirkara L 1-346.9 1040 998 49.34% 19.94% 30.72%+0.39 -23.4 0
2008-03-13 @ Sliema Wanderers W 3-146.9 998 1040 30.72% 19.94% 49.34%-0.39 +23.4 3
2008-03-13 Hamrun Spartans W 4-132.9 1136 880 70.70% 17.73% 11.57%+1.68 +9.1 3
2008-03-13 @ Valletta L 1-432.9 880 1136 11.57% 17.73% 70.70%-1.68 -9.1 0
2008-03-16 Msida St. Joseph W 3-034.9 896 872 47.02% 20.01% 32.98%+0.29 +28.1 3
2008-03-16 @ Hibernians L 0-334.9 872 896 32.98% 20.01% 47.02%-0.29 -28.1 0
2008-03-16 Sliema Wanderers W 4-245.4 1061 1016 49.82% 19.92% 30.25%+0.41 +13.9 6
2008-03-16 @ Marsaxlokk L 2-445.4 1016 1061 30.25% 19.92% 49.82%-0.41 -13.9 0
2008-03-17 Hamrun Spartans D 1-153.5 904 871 48.26% 19.97% 31.77%+0.34 -1.0 1
2008-03-17 @ Floriana D 1-153.5 871 904 31.77% 19.97% 48.26%-0.34 +1.1 1
2008-03-17 Valletta D 1-153.6 1021 1145 27.24% 19.79% 52.97%-0.60 +1.7 4
2008-03-17 @ Birkirkara D 1-153.6 1145 1021 52.97% 19.79% 27.24%+0.60 -1.7 4
2008-03-22 Mqabba W 4-241.5 844 686 62.59% 19.03% 18.39%+1.09 +9.0 3
2008-03-22 @ Msida St. Joseph L 2-441.5 686 844 18.39% 19.03% 62.59%-1.09 -9.0 3
2008-03-22 Sliema Wanderers L 0-234.6 872 1002 26.45% 19.75% 53.81%-0.64 -16.0 1
2008-03-22 @ Hamrun Spartans W 2-034.6 1002 872 53.81% 19.75% 26.45%+0.64 +16.0 3
2008-03-23 Floriana W 1-032.3 1143 903 69.55% 17.97% 12.48%+1.58 +4.2 7
2008-03-23 @ Valletta L 0-132.3 903 1143 12.48% 17.97% 69.55%-1.58 -4.2 1
2008-03-23 Marsaxlokk W 2-147.2 1023 1075 36.31% 20.07% 43.62%-0.17 +12.1 7
2008-03-23 @ Birkirkara L 1-247.2 1075 1023 43.62% 20.07% 36.31%+0.17 -12.2 6
2008-03-29 Hamrun Spartans W 3-136.0 1063 856 66.98% 18.43% 14.60%+1.39 +8.1 9
2008-03-29 @ Marsaxlokk L 1-336.0 856 1063 14.60% 18.43% 66.98%-1.39 -8.1 1
2008-03-29 Valletta L 0-234.7 1018 1147 26.59% 19.75% 53.65%-0.63 -16.1 3
2008-03-29 @ Sliema Wanderers W 2-034.7 1147 1018 53.65% 19.75% 26.59%+0.63 +16.1 10
2008-03-30 Birkirkara L 0-234.4 899 1035 25.77% 19.71% 54.52%-0.68 -15.7 1
2008-03-30 @ Floriana W 2-034.4 1035 899 54.52% 19.71% 25.77%+0.68 +15.7 10
2008-03-30 Hibernians L 1-239.2 711 925 18.20% 19.00% 62.80%-1.14 -5.8 0
2008-03-30 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 2-139.2 925 711 62.80% 19.00% 18.20%+1.14 +5.8 6
2008-04-05 Floriana L 0-244.2 1002 883 58.58% 19.42% 22.00%+0.86 -31.6 3
2008-04-05 @ Sliema Wanderers W 2-044.2 883 1002 22.00% 19.42% 58.58%-0.86 +31.6 4
2008-04-05 Hamrun Spartans W 4-028.2 1051 848 66.62% 18.48% 14.90%+1.36 +18.1 13
2008-04-05 @ Birkirkara L 0-428.2 848 1051 14.90% 18.48% 66.62%-1.36 -18.0 1
2008-04-06 Marsaxlokk W 2-141.5 1163 1071 55.57% 19.64% 24.79%+0.69 +7.6 13
2008-04-06 @ Valletta L 1-241.5 1071 1163 24.79% 19.64% 55.57%-0.69 -7.6 9
2008-04-06 Mqabba W 4-239.1 930 677 70.52% 17.77% 11.71%+1.66 +5.8 9
2008-04-06 @ Hibernians L 2-439.1 677 930 11.71% 17.77% 70.52%-1.66 -5.8 3
2008-04-19 Sliema Wanderers L 1-250.8 1069 971 56.28% 19.60% 24.13%+0.73 -15.2 13
2008-04-19 @ Birkirkara W 2-150.8 971 1069 24.13% 19.60% 56.28%-0.73 +15.2 6
2008-04-19 Valletta L 2-438.4 830 1171 9.88% 17.21% 72.91%-1.91 -4.9 1
2008-04-19 @ Hamrun Spartans W 4-238.4 1171 830 72.91% 17.21% 9.88%+1.91 +4.9 16
2008-04-21 Floriana W 2-032.3 1064 915 61.68% 19.13% 19.19%+1.04 +12.1 12
2008-04-21 @ Marsaxlokk L 0-232.3 915 1064 19.19% 19.13% 61.68%-1.04 -12.1 4
2008-04-21 Pieta Hotspurs W 3-137.6 853 705 61.60% 19.14% 19.27%+1.03 +10.5 6
2008-04-21 @ Msida St. Joseph L 1-337.6 705 853 19.27% 19.14% 61.60%-1.03 -10.5 0
2008-04-26 Floriana L 1-243.9 825 903 32.88% 20.00% 47.11%-0.32 -9.7 1
2008-04-26 @ Hamrun Spartans W 2-143.9 903 825 47.11% 20.00% 32.88%+0.32 +9.6 7
2008-04-26 Marsaxlokk W 1-043.8 986 1076 31.31% 19.96% 48.73%-0.40 +14.2 9
2008-04-26 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-143.8 1076 986 48.73% 19.96% 31.31%+0.40 -14.2 12
2008-04-28 Hibernians W 3-146.0 864 936 33.62% 20.02% 46.36%-0.29 +22.1 9
2008-04-28 @ Msida St. Joseph L 1-346.0 936 864 46.36% 20.02% 33.62%+0.29 -22.1 9
2008-04-28 Valletta L 1-242.3 1054 1176 27.38% 19.80% 52.83%-0.59 -8.3 13
2008-04-28 @ Birkirkara W 2-142.3 1176 1054 52.83% 19.80% 27.38%+0.59 +8.3 19
2008-05-03 Birkirkara L 0-240.6 1062 1045 45.96% 20.03% 34.01%+0.24 -25.4 12
2008-05-03 @ Marsaxlokk W 2-040.6 1045 1062 34.01% 20.03% 45.96%-0.24 +25.4 16
2008-05-03 Mqabba W 1-039.1 695 671 46.94% 20.01% 33.05%+0.28 +10.3 3
2008-05-03 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 0-139.1 671 695 33.05% 20.01% 46.94%-0.28 -10.3 3
2008-05-04 Hamrun Spartans W 5-342.9 1000 815 65.04% 18.72% 16.25%+1.25 +7.6 12
2008-05-04 @ Sliema Wanderers L 3-542.9 815 1000 16.25% 18.72% 65.04%-1.25 -7.6 1
2008-05-04 Valletta L 0-230.4 912 1184 13.82% 18.27% 67.91%-1.49 -8.9 7
2008-05-04 @ Floriana W 2-030.4 1184 912 67.91% 18.27% 13.82%+1.49 +8.8 22
2008-05-08 Floriana D 1-153.8 1071 903 63.44% 18.93% 17.63%+1.15 -3.1 17
2008-05-08 @ Birkirkara D 1-153.8 903 1071 17.63% 18.93% 63.44%-1.15 +3.1 8
2008-05-08 Msida St. Joseph D 2-259.2 661 886 17.26% 18.87% 63.86%-1.21 +2.4 4
2008-05-08 @ Mqabba D 2-259.2 886 661 63.86% 18.87% 17.26%+1.21 -2.4 10
2008-05-09 Marsaxlokk L 3-447.0 808 1036 16.97% 18.83% 64.20%-1.23 -5.0 1
2008-05-09 @ Hamrun Spartans W 4-347.0 1036 808 64.20% 18.83% 16.97%+1.23 +5.0 15
2008-05-09 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-137.9 914 705 67.11% 18.40% 14.49%+1.40 +4.6 12
2008-05-09 @ Hibernians L 1-237.9 705 914 14.49% 18.40% 67.11%-1.40 -4.6 3
2008-05-10 Sliema Wanderers L 0-148.4 1193 1007 65.10% 18.71% 16.19%+1.26 -18.5 22
2008-05-10 @ Valletta W 1-048.4 1007 1193 16.19% 18.71% 65.10%-1.26 +18.5 15
2008-05-13 Birkirkara L 0-230.6 803 1068 14.29% 18.37% 67.35%-1.45 -9.1 1
2008-05-13 @ Hamrun Spartans W 2-030.6 1068 803 67.35% 18.37% 14.29%+1.45 +9.1 20
2008-05-13 Hibernians D 1-153.9 663 919 14.97% 18.50% 66.54%-1.39 +3.6 5
2008-05-13 @ Mqabba D 1-153.9 919 663 66.54% 18.50% 14.97%+1.39 -3.6 13
2008-05-15 Msida St. Joseph L 2-442.4 700 884 20.92% 19.32% 59.76%-0.96 -10.1 3
2008-05-15 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 4-242.4 884 700 59.76% 19.32% 20.92%+0.96 +10.1 13
2008-05-15 Sliema Wanderers L 0-235.0 906 1026 27.71% 19.81% 52.48%-0.57 -16.7 8
2008-05-15 @ Floriana W 2-035.0 1026 906 52.48% 19.81% 27.71%+0.57 +16.7 18
2008-05-17 Valletta W 4-040.4 1041 1175 26.11% 19.73% 54.16%-0.66 +55.7 18
2008-05-17 @ Marsaxlokk L 0-440.4 1175 1041 54.16% 19.73% 26.11%+0.66 -55.7 22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2007-09-16 11.55% Hamrun Spartans 829 1 @ Marsaxlokk 1085 0
2 2008-02-25 15.52% @ Mqabba 642 2 Msida St. Joseph 890 1
3 2008-05-10 16.19% Sliema Wanderers 1007 1 @ Valletta 1193 0
4 2007-09-27 16.59% @ Pieta Hotspurs 786 2 Birkirkara 1019 1
5 2007-11-25 17.52% @ Pieta Hotspurs 815 1 Sliema Wanderers 1037 0
6 2007-09-30 18.21% @ Mqabba 816 3 Sliema Wanderers 1030 2
7 2008-04-05 22.00% Floriana 883 2 @ Sliema Wanderers 1002 0
8 2007-08-27 23.79% Floriana 892 3 @ Valletta 993 2
9 2008-01-13 24.01% Msida St. Joseph 835 2 @ Hamrun Spartans 934 1
10 2008-04-19 24.13% Sliema Wanderers 971 2 @ Birkirkara 1069 1
11 2007-09-15 24.97% Birkirkara 964 2 @ Sliema Wanderers 1054 0
12 2008-01-05 24.98% Floriana 939 1 @ Sliema Wanderers 1030 0
13 2008-02-10 25.54% Msida St. Joseph 852 3 @ Floriana 937 2
14 2008-05-17 26.11% @ Marsaxlokk 1041 4 Valletta 1175 0
15 2007-09-22 26.49% Pieta Hotspurs 772 3 @ Hamrun Spartans 849 2
16 2007-10-20 27.60% Pieta Hotspurs 760 6 @ Mqabba 827 1
17 2007-12-08 27.97% Hibernians 929 2 @ Birkirkara 993 0
18 2007-12-30 28.36% @ Hamrun Spartans 880 7 Marsaxlokk 994 3
19 2007-08-26 29.34% Hamrun Spartans 833 2 @ Mqabba 886 1
20 2008-03-13 30.72% Birkirkara 998 3 @ Sliema Wanderers 1040 1
21 2008-04-26 31.31% @ Sliema Wanderers 986 1 Marsaxlokk 1076 0
22 2008-03-12 33.06% @ Mqabba 660 2 Pieta Hotspurs 737 0
23 2008-04-28 33.62% @ Msida St. Joseph 864 3 Hibernians 936 1
24 2007-09-23 33.77% @ Birkirkara 994 2 Marsaxlokk 1065 0
25 2008-05-03 34.01% Birkirkara 1045 2 @ Marsaxlokk 1062 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-12-27 78.19 @ Msida St. Joseph 7 762 36.24% Pieta Hotspurs 0 815 43.69% 20.07%
2 2007-12-01 75.81 @ Valletta 7 995 37.83% Marsaxlokk 0 1037 42.09% 20.08%
3 2008-05-17 55.68 @ Marsaxlokk 4 1041 26.11% Valletta 0 1175 54.16% 19.73%
4 2007-10-20 55.33 Pieta Hotspurs 6 760 27.60% @ Mqabba 1 827 52.59% 19.81%
5 2008-02-10 48.93 @ Pieta Hotspurs 5 691 43.64% Mqabba 0 691 36.29% 20.07%
6 2008-01-19 40.99 @ Marsaxlokk 5 1007 50.80% Hibernians 0 954 29.32% 19.89%
7 2008-02-09 40.14 @ Birkirkara 5 966 51.54% Hamrun Spartans 0 907 28.61% 19.86%
8 2007-12-30 34.51 @ Hamrun Spartans 7 880 28.36% Marsaxlokk 3 994 51.79% 19.84%
9 2007-12-08 32.51 Valletta 4 1071 51.60% @ Floriana 0 959 28.55% 19.85%
10 2008-04-05 31.57 Floriana 2 883 22.00% @ Sliema Wanderers 0 1002 58.58% 19.42%
11 2007-10-21 30.42 @ Hibernians 4 899 53.83% Msida St. Joseph 0 822 26.42% 19.74%
12 2007-09-15 29.96 Birkirkara 2 964 24.97% @ Sliema Wanderers 0 1054 55.38% 19.65%
13 2007-12-08 28.38 Hibernians 2 929 27.97% @ Birkirkara 0 993 52.20% 19.83%
14 2008-03-16 28.09 @ Hibernians 3 896 47.02% Msida St. Joseph 0 872 32.98% 20.01%
15 2008-01-12 27.92 Marsaxlokk 4 979 39.54% @ Floriana 1 955 40.37% 20.09%
16 2008-03-12 25.84 @ Mqabba 2 660 33.06% Pieta Hotspurs 0 737 46.93% 20.01%
17 2007-09-23 25.50 @ Birkirkara 2 994 33.77% Marsaxlokk 0 1065 46.21% 20.02%
18 2008-05-03 25.38 Birkirkara 2 1045 34.01% @ Marsaxlokk 0 1062 45.96% 20.03%
19 2007-10-01 25.25 @ Floriana 4 928 59.25% Pieta Hotspurs 0 803 21.38% 19.36%
20 2008-02-16 24.54 @ Msida St. Joseph 2 866 35.79% Hibernians 0 922 44.15% 20.06%
21 2007-12-19 24.36 @ Marsaxlokk 5 970 64.87% Msida St. Joseph 0 787 16.39% 18.74%
22 2008-03-13 23.38 Birkirkara 3 998 30.72% @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1040 49.34% 19.94%
23 2008-04-28 22.15 @ Msida St. Joseph 3 864 33.62% Hibernians 1 936 46.36% 20.02%
24 2007-12-09 22.04 @ Hamrun Spartans 3 855 55.56% Mqabba 0 763 24.80% 19.64%
25 2007-09-16 20.05 Hamrun Spartans 1 829 11.55% @ Marsaxlokk 0 1085 70.73% 17.72%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-05-08 59.2 @ Mqabba 2 661 17.26% Msida St. Joseph 2 886 63.86% 18.87%
2 2007-10-05 58.9 @ Hamrun Spartans 2 848 24.24% Birkirkara 2 999 56.16% 19.60%
3 2008-01-26 58.9 @ Sliema Wanderers 2 1035 30.53% Valletta 2 1131 49.54% 19.93%
4 2007-09-21 58.8 @ Floriana 2 934 31.33% Sliema Wanderers 2 1024 48.71% 19.96%
5 2007-12-02 58.8 @ Hamrun Spartans 2 854 33.22% Hibernians 2 930 46.77% 20.01%
6 2007-09-30 57.7 @ Mqabba 3 816 18.21% Sliema Wanderers 2 1030 62.79% 19.00%
7 2007-08-27 56.0 Floriana 3 892 23.79% @ Valletta 2 993 56.64% 19.57%
8 2008-02-10 55.5 Msida St. Joseph 3 852 25.54% @ Floriana 2 937 54.77% 19.69%
9 2007-09-22 55.2 Pieta Hotspurs 3 772 26.49% @ Hamrun Spartans 2 849 53.77% 19.75%
10 2008-05-13 53.9 @ Mqabba 1 663 14.97% Hibernians 1 919 66.54% 18.50%
11 2007-10-01 53.8 @ Birkirkara 1 1002 63.33% Msida St. Joseph 1 836 17.73% 18.94%
12 2007-12-26 53.8 @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1033 62.35% Hamrun Spartans 1 877 18.60% 19.06%
13 2008-05-08 53.8 @ Birkirkara 1 1071 63.44% Floriana 1 903 17.63% 18.93%
14 2007-09-17 53.7 @ Valletta 1 990 59.39% Hibernians 1 863 21.26% 19.35%
15 2007-09-30 53.7 @ Hibernians 1 879 22.52% Marsaxlokk 1 1046 58.01% 19.47%
16 2007-11-24 53.7 @ Floriana 1 971 58.54% Hamrun Spartans 1 852 22.04% 19.43%
17 2007-09-22 53.6 @ Msida St. Joseph 1 847 25.32% Valletta 1 988 55.00% 19.68%
18 2008-03-17 53.6 @ Birkirkara 1 1021 27.24% Valletta 1 1145 52.97% 19.79%
19 2007-08-26 53.5 @ Hibernians 1 872 32.07% Birkirkara 1 956 47.95% 19.98%
20 2007-12-15 53.5 @ Hibernians 1 957 47.98% Floriana 1 926 32.04% 19.98%
21 2007-12-30 53.5 @ Birkirkara 1 978 36.41% Sliema Wanderers 1 1030 43.53% 20.07%
22 2008-02-22 53.5 @ Marsaxlokk 1 1053 32.09% Valletta 1 1137 47.92% 19.98%
23 2008-02-25 53.5 @ Hibernians 1 897 46.23% Hamrun Spartans 1 879 33.74% 20.02%
24 2008-03-17 53.5 @ Floriana 1 904 48.26% Hamrun Spartans 1 871 31.77% 19.97%
25 2008-02-25 53.4 @ Mqabba 2 642 15.52% Msida St. Joseph 1 890 65.88% 18.60%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-01-20 25.8 @ Sliema Wanderers 4 1024 74.64% Mqabba 0 708 8.62% 16.74%
2 2007-12-15 27.3 @ Valletta 3 1104 72.28% Pieta Hotspurs 0 825 10.35% 17.37%
3 2008-04-05 28.2 @ Birkirkara 4 1051 66.62% Hamrun Spartans 0 848 14.90% 18.48%
4 2007-12-19 28.7 @ Marsaxlokk 5 970 64.87% Msida St. Joseph 0 787 16.39% 18.74%
5 2008-01-27 28.7 Marsaxlokk 2 1048 73.46% @ Mqabba 0 698 9.47% 17.07%
6 2008-01-13 29.9 @ Birkirkara 2 960 69.68% Pieta Hotspurs 0 718 12.38% 17.94%
7 2007-08-27 30.3 @ Sliema Wanderers 3 1019 62.41% Msida St. Joseph 0 862 18.54% 19.05%
8 2007-10-01 30.4 @ Floriana 4 928 59.25% Pieta Hotspurs 0 803 21.38% 19.36%
9 2008-05-04 30.4 Valletta 2 1184 67.91% @ Floriana 0 912 13.82% 18.27%
10 2008-01-27 30.6 @ Hibernians 2 913 67.41% Pieta Hotspurs 0 700 14.23% 18.35%
11 2008-05-13 30.6 Birkirkara 2 1068 67.35% @ Hamrun Spartans 0 803 14.29% 18.37%
12 2007-08-31 30.9 Sliema Wanderers 3 1036 60.30% @ Hamrun Spartans 0 847 20.44% 19.27%
13 2008-01-06 31.3 Hamrun Spartans 3 915 59.14% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 737 21.48% 19.37%
14 2007-10-21 32.0 @ Hibernians 4 899 53.83% Msida St. Joseph 0 822 26.42% 19.74%
15 2007-12-09 32.3 @ Hamrun Spartans 3 855 55.56% Mqabba 0 763 24.80% 19.64%
16 2008-03-23 32.3 @ Valletta 1 1143 69.55% Floriana 0 903 12.48% 17.97%
17 2008-04-21 32.3 @ Marsaxlokk 2 1064 61.68% Floriana 0 915 19.19% 19.13%
18 2007-12-08 32.7 Valletta 4 1071 51.60% @ Floriana 0 959 28.55% 19.85%
19 2008-02-09 32.7 @ Birkirkara 5 966 51.54% Hamrun Spartans 0 907 28.61% 19.86%
20 2008-01-19 32.9 @ Marsaxlokk 5 1007 50.80% Hibernians 0 954 29.32% 19.89%
21 2008-03-13 32.9 @ Valletta 4 1136 70.70% Hamrun Spartans 1 880 11.57% 17.73%
22 2007-10-05 33.0 @ Marsaxlokk 1 1044 67.32% Mqabba 0 832 14.31% 18.37%
23 2008-01-03 33.5 Hibernians 1 959 65.50% @ Mqabba 0 716 15.85% 18.65%
24 2008-01-19 34.1 @ Valletta 4 1119 66.38% Hamrun Spartans 1 919 15.10% 18.52%
25 2007-12-27 34.2 @ Floriana 4 927 66.33% Mqabba 1 727 15.14% 18.53%